Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed the resolve of Alberta energy proponents
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed the resolve of Alberta energy proponents, who say the world needs Canada’s brand of ethical oil.
The sight of Russian President Vladimir Putin attempting to redraw borders on the eastern edge of Europe has served to rekindle debate about whether Western allies should buy energy from each other, rather than countries that threaten democratic values — though in some cases critics have argued Russia’s aggression will only accelerate the green energy transition underway in Europe.
But the argument that too much of the world’s energy is produced by bad actors has been a key message of Alberta’s UCP government: Canada, for example, could provide a secure supply of gas to Europe, lessening its dependence on Russia, Alberta Finance Minister Travis Toews said in an interview.
“Western Europe have found themselves very, very dependent on Russia for their energy,” Toews said on Feb. 26 after presenting his latest budget. “As we take a look at the intermediate and long term, I believe Canada and certainly Western Canada, has both an opportunity, but maybe more importantly, a responsibility to provide energy to Western Europe.”
Canada, too, is an importer of Russian oil, amounting to close to $3.6 billion over the past decade, according to an analysis by University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe.
And while Western allies have so far responded with a suite of sanctions intended to hobble Russia’s economy, experts say there has been little indication that Europe and the U.S. have any appetite to seriously sanction Russian energy exports.
“The White House has gone to great lengths to convey that it will not target the Russian energy sector and exacerbate an already tight supply situation,” Helima Croft with RBC Capital Markets said in a note to clients this week.
Croft said that there are also serious concerns that Russia could curtail energy exports in response to the sanctions.
“Some market participants contend that Russia would not want to risk their position as a reliable supplier, but since they have just plunged Europe into the gravest security crisis since WW2, we do not think we should be naive about the willingness of the Russian leader to play the commodity export card in pursuit of his revanchist agenda,” Croft wrote.